Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 96% |
| O/U 215.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 93% |
| O/U 219.5 | 92% |
| O/U 221.5 | 90% |
| Bulls O/U 110.5 | 89% |
| O/U 223.5 | 87% |
| O/U 225.5 | 85% |
| Bulls O/U 114.5 | 84% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| O/U 227.5 | 82% |
| O/U 229.5 | 79% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 230.5 | 77% |
| O/U 231.5 | 76% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| O/U 233.5 | 72% |
| Bulls O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| O/U 235.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 68% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 68% |
| O/U 236.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 65% |
| O/U 237.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 64% |
| O/U 238.5 | 63% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 63% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 62% |
| O/U 239.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 57% |
| O/U 241.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 56% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 56% |
| O/U 242.5 | 55% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 243.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 244.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 132.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | 48% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 246.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 45% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| O/U 249.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Wizards O/U 124.5 | 40% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| O/U 252.5 | 33% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 32% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| O/U 255.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 66.5 | 26% |
| Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Wizards O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 132.5 | 19% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 17% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Wizards O/U 134.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 15% |
| 1H O/U 139.5 | 15% |
| Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 141.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Wizards vs. Bulls. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 50% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $112K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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