Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 27.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 92% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 30.5 | 90% |
| O/U 31.5 | 88% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 70% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 64% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 51% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 49% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 48.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 51.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 52.5 | 33% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| O/U 57.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 97%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postpone…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $104K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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