Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 99% |
| O/U 32.5 | 98% |
| O/U 37.5 | 97% |
| O/U 35.5 | 96% |
| O/U 36.5 | 96% |
| O/U 27.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 91% |
| O/U 38.5 | 91% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 79% |
| O/U 42.5 | 78% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 73% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| O/U 44.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 69% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 46.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 47.5 | 56% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Spread -19.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 50.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -19.5 | 25% |
| O/U 54.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 55.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 18% |
| O/U 57.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 58.5 | 13% |
| Spread -5.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| O/U 61.5 | 7% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| Spread -8.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 65.5 | 4% |
| Spread -9.5 | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| O/U 64.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: ravens vs. falcons 100%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will r…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $6.0M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Ravens vs. Falcons" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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