Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Vorhersage Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Diesen Markt handeln → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 99% |
| Seahawks O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 99% |
| O/U 31.5 | 98% |
| O/U 33.5 | 98% |
| O/U 28.5 | 98% |
| O/U 30.5 | 98% |
| O/U 26.5 | 97% |
| O/U 36.5 | 97% |
| O/U 37.5 | 96% |
| O/U 38.5 | 95% |
| O/U 39.5 | 94% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 40.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 90% |
| 1H Moneyline | 90% |
| O/U 42.5 | 89% |
| O/U 43.5 | 85% |
| 49ers O/U 20.5 | 84% |
| O/U 44.5 | 83% |
| O/U 45.5 | 81% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Seahawks O/U 20.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 77% |
| O/U 46.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 77% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 76% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 74% |
| O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| O/U 48.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 69% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 64% |
| O/U 32.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| O/U 50.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Seahawks O/U 12.5 | 57% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 6.5 | 57% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 56% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 53% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 51% |
| O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| 49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| O/U 54.5 | 47% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| Spread -19.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 45% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 2H Moneyline | 44% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 55.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| O/U 59.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 56.5 | 37% |
| O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 60.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 27% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| O/U 62.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 64.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 20.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: 49ers vs. Seahawks — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game. This market will resolve to "Seahawks" i…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $3.1M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: 49ers vs. Seahawks über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Vorhersage Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Vorhersage Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Vorhersage Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: 49ers vs. Seahawks" auf Vorhersage Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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